Groningen vs Cambuur: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Euroborg, Groningen
The Footlab AI model makes Groningen the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Cambuur. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Groningen vs Cambuur?
Groningen starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,947 vs 1,792).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Groningen vs Cambuur
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Groningen
4-2-3-1- 9B. Willumsson
- 24P. Clement
- 8T. de Jonge
- 26T. van Bergen
- 17D. van der Werff
- 11J. Ondrejka
- 3T. Blokzijl
- 14J. Schreuders
- 5M. Rente
- 4M. Csinger
- 1E. Vaessen
Cambuur
4-2-3-1- 33M. Maertens
- 8N. Souren
- 10R. El Arguioui
- 11I. Hamache
- 15F. Kvam
- 17Ethan Apkakou
- 4I. Baouf
- 28M. Costarelli
- 14B. van Duijl
- 2D. Bouah
- 1T. Jansen
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Groningen have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Cambuur have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Twente(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(away) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Telstar(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Twente(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Groningen wins, 1 draw, 3 Cambuur wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2024 | Groningen 3-0 Cambuur | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Cambuur 2-1 Groningen | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 26, 2023 | Groningen 0-1 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| Dec 9, 2022 | Groningen 1-1 Cambuur | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Cambuur 0-1 Groningen | Eredivisie |
| May 15, 2022 | Groningen 2-3 Cambuur | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Groningen score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cambuur score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Groningen | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Cambuur | 1.4 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Groningen sit 6th in Eredivisie (14 points from 8 matches) and Cambuur sit 12th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 8 |
A question about Groningen vs Cambuur?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Groningen vs Cambuur?
- The Footlab AI model makes Groningen the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Cambuur.
- Where and when is Groningen vs Cambuur played?
- Groningen vs Cambuur is played on May 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Euroborg, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.