PSV Eindhoven vs NEC Nijmegen: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
The Footlab AI model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for NEC Nijmegen. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs NEC Nijmegen?
PSV Eindhoven starts as the favourite with a 223-point Elo edge (2,207 vs 1,984).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for PSV Eindhoven vs NEC Nijmegen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
PSV Eindhoven
4-2-3-1- 21S. Mijnans
- 20G. Til
- 24K. Sano
- 7R. van Bommel
- 5I. Perišić
- 31N. Fernandez
- 4A. Obispo
- 8S. Dest
- 17Mauro Júnior
- 2L. Geertruida
- 32M. Kovář
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1- 30B. Linssen
- 9T. Chery
- 20N. Lebreton
- 6D. Nejašmić
- 10D. Tadić
- 21T. Storm
- 34Kevin Kers
- 73Gabriel Brás
- 4P. Schuurs
- 24Deveron Fonville
- 1G. Crettaz
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSV Eindhoven have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; NEC Nijmegen have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Heerenveen(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Twente(away) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cambuur(away) | 0-3 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 PSV Eindhoven wins, 1 draw, 3 NEC Nijmegen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven 2-3 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Mar 3, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen 3-2 PSV Eindhoven | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 13, 2025 | NEC Nijmegen 3-5 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Feb 1, 2025 | NEC Nijmegen 3-3 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Sep 14, 2024 | PSV Eindhoven 2-0 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Mar 30, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen 3-1 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: PSV Eindhoven vs NEC Nijmegen on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
PSV Eindhoven score 2.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; NEC Nijmegen score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 2.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PSV Eindhoven sit 2nd in Eredivisie (19 points from 8 matches) and NEC Nijmegen sit 11th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 19 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 9 |
A question about PSV Eindhoven vs NEC Nijmegen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PSV Eindhoven vs NEC Nijmegen?
- The Footlab AI model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for NEC Nijmegen.
- Where and when is PSV Eindhoven vs NEC Nijmegen played?
- PSV Eindhoven vs NEC Nijmegen is played on May 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Philips Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.