Excelsior vs ADO Den Haag: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam
The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for ADO Den Haag. The most likely score is 1-1. If Excelsior wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Excelsior vs ADO Den Haag?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Excelsior (1,912) and ADO Den Haag (1,832).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Excelsior vs ADO Den Haag
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Excelsior
4-3-3- 19D. Garden
- 30Á. Þorsteinsson
- 7A. Sliti
- 3R. Meissen
- 20L. Hartjes
- 8I. Yegoian
- 14J. Plug
- 4C. Widell
- 2Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira
- 15S. Janssen
- 1S. van Gassel
ADO Den Haag
4-4-2- 46Y. Eduardo
- 11E. Rottier
- 25J. Kilo
- 17J. Hawkins
- 33M. Šín
- 27N. Thomas
- 3P. Mulder
- 15M. Hokke
- 4M. Waem
- 5J. Jensen-Abbew
- 1K. Nikiéma
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; ADO Den Haag have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 1-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 8, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Telstar(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Twente(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Excelsior wins, 2 draws, 0 ADO Den Haag wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | Excelsior 1-0 ADO Den Haag | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 30, 2024 | ADO Den Haag 0-5 Excelsior | Eerste Divisie |
| May 25, 2024 | Excelsior 7-1 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| May 22, 2024 | ADO Den Haag 1-2 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| May 29, 2022 | ADO Den Haag 4-4 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| May 24, 2022 | Excelsior 1-1 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Excelsior vs ADO Den Haag on Jan 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Excelsior score 2.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; ADO Den Haag score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior | 2.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| ADO Den Haag | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Excelsior sit 9th in Eredivisie (11 points from 8 matches) and ADO Den Haag sit 17th (3 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 3 |
A question about Excelsior vs ADO Den Haag?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Excelsior vs ADO Den Haag?
- The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for ADO Den Haag.
- Where and when is Excelsior vs ADO Den Haag played?
- Excelsior vs ADO Den Haag is played on May 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.