Groningen vs Emmen: prediction and stats
KNVB BekerRound of 64Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Euroborg, Groningen
The Footlab AI model makes Groningen the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Emmen. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,123 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Groningen vs Emmen?
Groningen starts as the favourite with a 253-point Elo edge (2,017 vs 1,764).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Groningen vs Emmen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Groningen
4-2-3-1- 9B. Willumsson
- 24P. Clement
- 8T. de Jonge
- 26T. van Bergen
- 17D. van der Werff
- 11J. Ondrejka
- 3T. Blokzijl
- 14J. Schreuders
- 5M. Rente
- 33H. Hateboer
- 1E. Vaessen
Emmen
4-2-3-1- 9J. Cooper
- 22M. Breij
- 7T. Rhein
- 40S. Veldhuis
- 12F. Quispel
- 21A. Hojabrpour
- 17B. Van Hove
- 3Y. Dede-Lhomme
- 24L. Everink
- 25R. Kongolo
- 1S. Karssies
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 12:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Groningen have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Emmen have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 2-5 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Twente(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Vitesse(away) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Groningen wins, 4 draws, 0 Emmen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2024 | Groningen 3-2 Emmen | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Emmen 0-3 Groningen | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 23, 2023 | Groningen 0-0 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Groningen 1-1 Emmen | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Groningen 1-1 Emmen | Eredivisie |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Emmen 0-0 Groningen | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Groningen score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Emmen score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Groningen | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Emmen | 2.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Groningen vs Emmen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Groningen vs Emmen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Groningen the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Emmen.
- Where and when is Groningen vs Emmen played?
- Groningen vs Emmen is played on October 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Euroborg, in the KNVB Beker.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.