Navalcarnero vs Gimnástica Segoviana: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de San Francisco, Reinosa
The Footlab model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Gimnástica Segoviana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Navalcarnero vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Navalcarnero (1,860) and Gimnástica Segoviana (1,842).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Navalcarnero have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Gimnástica Segoviana have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Colonia Moscardó(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Navalcarnero win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Gimnástica Segoviana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | Gimnástica Segoviana 0-0 Navalcarnero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Navalcarnero 2-2 Gimnástica Segoviana | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Gimnástica Segoviana 0-1 Navalcarnero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Navalcarnero 0-0 Gimnástica Segoviana | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Jan 30, 2022 | Navalcarnero 4-2 Gimnástica Segoviana | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Gimnástica Segoviana 3-1 Navalcarnero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Gimnástica Segoviana vs Navalcarnero on Jan 21, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Navalcarnero score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnástica Segoviana score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navalcarnero | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Gimnástica Segoviana | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Navalcarnero | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 42 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Navalcarnero vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
- The Footlab model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Gimnástica Segoviana.
- Where and when is Navalcarnero vs Gimnástica Segoviana played?
- Navalcarnero vs Gimnástica Segoviana is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de San Francisco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.