Match

Navalcarnero vs Gimnástica Segoviana: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 · Matchday 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Campo de San Francisco, Reinosa

NavalcarneroGimnástica Segoviana

The Footlab AI model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Gimnástica Segoviana. The most likely score is 1-1. If Navalcarnero wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,335 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Navalcarnero vs Gimnástica Segoviana?

On Elo ratings, Navalcarnero has 2,020 points and Gimnástica Segoviana 1,921.

56%24%20%
Navalcarnero winDrawGimnástica Segoviana win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Navalcarnero vs Gimnástica Segoviana

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Navalcarnero

Not enough data to predict the Navalcarnero lineup.

Gimnástica Segoviana

4-4-2
  1. 23Sanchidrián
  2. 9D. Lorenzo
  1. 8Sergio Orviz
  2. 7J. Alvarez
  3. 14Fer Llorente
  4. 19Tito
  1. 21Alfredo Pedraza
  2. 2Luis Aguado
  3. 4H. Espierrez
  4. 5S. Lecea
  1. 13Arnau Rafús

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 04:08 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Navalcarnero have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Gimnástica Segoviana have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Navalcarnero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 12, 2026Real Betis(home)2-3Copa del Rey
Nov 8, 2026Guadalajara(away)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Nov 1, 2026Atlético Paso(home)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 24, 2026Numancia(away)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 18, 2026Salamanca UDS(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Gimnástica Segoviana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Albacete II(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Nov 1, 2026Salamanca UDS(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 27, 2026Cultural Leonesa(home)0-1Copa del Rey
Oct 24, 2026Atlético Tordesillas(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 17, 2026A Madrid III(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Navalcarnero wins, 3 draws, 1 Gimnástica Segoviana win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 21, 2024Gimnástica Segoviana 0-0 NavalcarneroSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 10, 2023Navalcarnero 2-2 Gimnástica SegovianaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Mar 19, 2023Gimnástica Segoviana 0-1 NavalcarneroSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 30, 2022Navalcarnero 0-0 Gimnástica SegovianaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Jan 30, 2022Navalcarnero 4-2 Gimnástica SegovianaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 12, 2021Gimnástica Segoviana 3-1 NavalcarneroSegunda División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Gimnástica Segoviana vs Navalcarnero on Jan 21, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Navalcarnero score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnástica Segoviana score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Navalcarnero2.11.4212/1511/15
Gimnástica Segoviana1.11.328/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Navalcarnero sit 7th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (16 points from 10 matches) and Gimnástica Segoviana sit 14th (10 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Navalcarnero10442181516
14Gimnástica Segoviana10244141510

A question about Navalcarnero vs Gimnástica Segoviana?

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Navalcarnero vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
The Footlab AI model makes Navalcarnero the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Gimnástica Segoviana.
Where and when is Navalcarnero vs Gimnástica Segoviana played?
Navalcarnero vs Gimnástica Segoviana is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Campo de San Francisco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Navalcarnero and Gimnástica Segoviana