Where and when is Guangxi Hengchen vs Changchun Yatai played?

Guangxi Hengchen vs Changchun Yatai is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Nanning Sports School Wuhe Campus Football Field, in the League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Guangxi Hengchen vs Changchun Yatai: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Nanning Sports School Wuhe Campus Football Field, Nanning

Guangxi Hengchen

Changchun Yatai

The Footlab model makes Guangxi Hengchen the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Changchun Yatai. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Guangxi Hengchen vs Changchun Yatai?

Guangxi Hengchen starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,514 vs 1,382).

Guangxi Hengchen win63 %

Draw19 %

Changchun Yatai win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guangxi Hengchen have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Changchun Yatai have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Guangxi Hengchen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Suzhou Dongwu(home)	3-3	League One
Aug 15, 2026	Meizhou Kejia(home)	1-0	League One
Aug 9, 2026	Guangzhou E-Power(away)	0-2	League One
Aug 1, 2026	Ningbo Professional(away)	4-2	League One
Jul 26, 2026	Heilongjiang Lava Spring(home)	4-4	League One

Changchun Yatai
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Dongguan United(home)	6-0	League One
Aug 14, 2026	Shaanxi Union(away)	1-2	League One
Aug 8, 2026	Suzhou Dongwu(away)	1-2	League One
Aug 2, 2026	Hebei Kungfu(home)	2-2	League One
Jul 25, 2026	Nanjing City(home)	2-1	League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Guangxi Hengchen win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Changchun Yatai win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 27, 2026	Changchun Yatai 1-2 Guangxi Hengchen	League One

Last archived meeting: Changchun Yatai vs Guangxi Hengchen on Jun 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Guangxi Hengchen score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Changchun Yatai score 1.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Guangxi Hengchen	2.1	1.5	5	8/15	10/15
Changchun Yatai	1.8	2.0	1	13/15	14/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Guangxi Hengchen sit 5th in League One (33 points from 19 matches) and Changchun Yatai sit 9th (22 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Guangxi Hengchen	19	9	6	4	34	24	33
9	Changchun Yatai	19	8	2	9	33	34	22

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Guangxi Hengchen vs Changchun Yatai?: The Footlab model makes Guangxi Hengchen the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Changchun Yatai.
Where and when is Guangxi Hengchen vs Changchun Yatai played?: Guangxi Hengchen vs Changchun Yatai is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Nanning Sports School Wuhe Campus Football Field, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.