Meizhou Kejia vs Nantong Zhiyun: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Wuhua Olympic Sports Center Huitang Stadium, Wuhua
The Footlab model makes Nantong Zhiyun the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Meizhou Kejia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Meizhou Kejia vs Nantong Zhiyun?
Nantong Zhiyun starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,451 vs 1,306).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Meizhou Kejia have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Nantong Zhiyun have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guangzhou E-Power(home) | 1-5 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guangxi Hengchen(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dongguan United(home) | 3-2 | League One |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Suzhou Dongwu(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Yanbian Longding(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shaanxi Union(home) | 4-1 | League One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Suzhou Dongwu(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nanjing City(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring(home) | 5-1 | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hebei Kungfu(away) | 1-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Meizhou Kejia win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Nantong Zhiyun win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Nantong Zhiyun 1-3 Meizhou Kejia | League One |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Meizhou Kejia 2-1 Nantong Zhiyun | Super League |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Nantong Zhiyun 1-0 Meizhou Kejia | Super League |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Meizhou Kejia 0-4 Nantong Zhiyun | Super League |
| Jul 2, 2023 | Nantong Zhiyun 2-2 Meizhou Kejia | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Nantong Zhiyun 0-1 Meizhou Kejia | League One |
Last archived meeting: Nantong Zhiyun vs Meizhou Kejia on Jun 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Meizhou Kejia score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Nantong Zhiyun score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meizhou Kejia | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Nantong Zhiyun | 1.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Meizhou Kejia sit 15th in League One (11 points from 20 matches) and Nantong Zhiyun sit 4th (35 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nantong Zhiyun | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 35 |
| 15 | Meizhou Kejia | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 40 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Meizhou Kejia vs Nantong Zhiyun?
- The Footlab model makes Nantong Zhiyun the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Meizhou Kejia.
- Where and when is Meizhou Kejia vs Nantong Zhiyun played?
- Meizhou Kejia vs Nantong Zhiyun is played on October 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Wuhua Olympic Sports Center Huitang Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Yanbian LongdingvsDongguan United
- Oct 17, 2026Ningbo ProfessionalvsSuzhou Dongwu
- Oct 17, 2026Shenzhen JuniorsvsDalian Huayi
- Oct 17, 2026Wuxi WugouvsHeilongjiang Lava Spring
- Oct 17, 2026Guangxi HengchenvsChangchun Yatai
- Oct 18, 2026Shaanxi UnionvsGuangzhou E-Power
- Oct 18, 2026Nanjing CityvsHebei Kungfu