Match

Yanbian Longding vs Dongguan United: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium, Yanji

Yanbian LongdingDongguan United

The Footlab model makes Yanbian Longding the favourite at 77%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Dongguan United. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yanbian Longding vs Dongguan United?

Yanbian Longding starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (1,461 vs 1,221).

Yanbian Longding win77 %
Draw16 %
Dongguan United win8 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yanbian Longding have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Dongguan United have 0, 5 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yanbian Longding
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ningbo Professional(away)3-2League One
Aug 15, 2026Dalian Huayi(home)3-1League One
Aug 9, 2026Shenzhen Juniors(home)0-1League One
Aug 1, 2026Nanjing City(home)1-1League One
Jul 26, 2026Meizhou Kejia(home)2-1League One
Dongguan United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Changchun Yatai(away)0-6League One
Aug 16, 2026Hebei Kungfu(home)1-2League One
Aug 8, 2026Meizhou Kejia(away)2-3League One
Aug 1, 2026Guangzhou E-Power(away)1-1League One
Jul 25, 2026Wuxi Wugou(home)0-2League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Yanbian Longding win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Dongguan United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 27, 2026Dongguan United 0-2 Yanbian LongdingLeague One
Oct 18, 2025Yanbian Longding 4-1 Dongguan UnitedLeague One
Jun 14, 2025Dongguan United 2-2 Yanbian LongdingLeague One
Nov 3, 2024Yanbian Longding 0-1 Dongguan UnitedLeague One
Jun 30, 2024Dongguan United 2-0 Yanbian LongdingLeague One
Sep 13, 2023Dongguan United 1-1 Yanbian LongdingLeague One

Last archived meeting: Dongguan United vs Yanbian Longding on Jun 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Yanbian Longding score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dongguan United score 0.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Yanbian Longding1.71.139/157/15
Dongguan United0.92.309/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Yanbian Longding sit 3rd in League One (35 points from 20 matches) and Dongguan United sit 16th (11 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Yanbian Longding20983301835
16Dongguan United202513204311

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yanbian Longding vs Dongguan United?
The Footlab model makes Yanbian Longding the favourite at 77%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Dongguan United.
Where and when is Yanbian Longding vs Dongguan United played?
Yanbian Longding vs Dongguan United is played on October 17, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Yanbian Longding and Dongguan United

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