Match

Wuxi Wugou vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Wuxi Sports Center, Wuxi

Wuxi WugouHeilongjiang Lava Spring

The Footlab model makes Wuxi Wugou the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Heilongjiang Lava Spring. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wuxi Wugou vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?

A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Wuxi Wugou (1,432) and Heilongjiang Lava Spring (1,338).

Wuxi Wugou win53 %
Draw25 %
Heilongjiang Lava Spring win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wuxi Wugou have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Heilongjiang Lava Spring have 1, 7 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wuxi Wugou
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dalian Huayi(away)1-2League One
Aug 15, 2026Guangzhou E-Power(home)0-3League One
Aug 2, 2026Shenzhen Juniors(away)0-1League One
Jul 25, 2026Dongguan United(away)2-0League One
Jul 17, 2026Changchun Yatai(away)5-1League One
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hebei Kungfu(home)1-2League One
Aug 16, 2026Nanjing City(away)1-1League One
Aug 8, 2026Dalian Huayi(home)2-1League One
Aug 1, 2026Nantong Zhiyun(away)1-5League One
Jul 26, 2026Guangxi Hengchen(away)4-4League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Wuxi Wugou win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Heilongjiang Lava Spring win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 28, 2026Heilongjiang Lava Spring 3-3 Wuxi WugouLeague One
Oct 13, 2024Heilongjiang Lava Spring 0-1 Wuxi WugouLeague One
Jun 1, 2024Wuxi Wugou 0-1 Heilongjiang Lava SpringLeague One
Oct 22, 2023Wuxi Wugou 2-1 Heilongjiang Lava SpringLeague One
Jul 9, 2023Heilongjiang Lava Spring 6-2 Wuxi WugouLeague One

Last archived meeting: Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Wuxi Wugou on Jun 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Wuxi Wugou score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Heilongjiang Lava Spring score 1.6 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wuxi Wugou1.51.339/157/15
Heilongjiang Lava Spring1.62.5013/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wuxi Wugou sit 8th in League One (23 points from 18 matches) and Heilongjiang Lava Spring sit 10th (22 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Wuxi Wugou18657292323
10Heilongjiang Lava Spring204106303822

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wuxi Wugou vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?
The Footlab model makes Wuxi Wugou the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Heilongjiang Lava Spring.
Where and when is Wuxi Wugou vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring played?
Wuxi Wugou vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Wuxi Sports Center, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Wuxi Wugou and Heilongjiang Lava Spring

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