Match

Nanjing City vs Hebei Kungfu: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)

Nanjing CityHebei Kungfu

The Footlab model makes Nanjing City the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Hebei Kungfu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nanjing City vs Hebei Kungfu?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Nanjing City (1,316) and Hebei Kungfu (1,381).

Nanjing City win38 %
Draw31 %
Hebei Kungfu win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nanjing City have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Hebei Kungfu have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nanjing City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Shenzhen Juniors(away)1-3League One
Aug 16, 2026Heilongjiang Lava Spring(home)1-1League One
Aug 8, 2026Nantong Zhiyun(home)1-1League One
Aug 1, 2026Yanbian Longding(away)1-1League One
Jul 25, 2026Changchun Yatai(away)1-2League One
Hebei Kungfu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Heilongjiang Lava Spring(away)2-1League One
Aug 16, 2026Dongguan United(away)2-1League One
Aug 8, 2026Shaanxi Union(home)2-1League One
Aug 2, 2026Changchun Yatai(away)2-2League One
Jul 25, 2026Nantong Zhiyun(home)1-1League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Nanjing City win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Hebei Kungfu win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 27, 2026Hebei Kungfu 2-1 Nanjing CityLeague One
Oct 5, 2025Nanjing City 1-3 Hebei KungfuLeague One
May 25, 2025Hebei Kungfu 2-0 Nanjing CityLeague One
Oct 5, 2024Nanjing City 1-1 Hebei KungfuLeague One
May 25, 2024Hebei Kungfu 3-1 Nanjing CityLeague One
Sep 16, 2023Nanjing City 1-1 Hebei KungfuLeague One

Last archived meeting: Hebei Kungfu vs Nanjing City on Jun 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nanjing City score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hebei Kungfu score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nanjing City1.01.239/155/15
Hebei Kungfu0.91.138/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nanjing City sit 12th in League One (21 points from 20 matches) and Hebei Kungfu sit 13th (21 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Nanjing City20569192421
13Hebei Kungfu20569162421

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nanjing City vs Hebei Kungfu?
The Footlab model makes Nanjing City the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Hebei Kungfu.
Where and when is Nanjing City vs Hebei Kungfu played?
Nanjing City vs Hebei Kungfu is played on October 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC), in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Nanjing City and Hebei Kungfu

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