Guarany de Sobral vs América PE: prediction and stats
Pernambucano - 1Regular Season - 3Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Sobral, Ceará
The Footlab AI model makes América PE the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Guarany de Sobral. The most likely score is 1-1. If América PE wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guarany de Sobral vs América PE?
América PE starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,645 vs 1,495).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guarany de Sobral vs América PE
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guarany de Sobral
4-3-3- DDaniel Passira
- GGeraldo Batista dos Santos Filho
- HHugo Freitas
- PPaulista
- MMattheus Silva
- DDim
- RRaí
- DDanilo Cirqueira
- AAirton Júnior
- AAndré Mascena
- TTheofilo Rufino Rodrigues
América PE
Not enough data to predict the América PE lineup.
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guarany de Sobral have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; América PE have 13, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Crato(away) | 1-3 | Cearense - 2 |
| May 13, 2026 | Itapipoca(home) | 2-0 | Cearense - 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Crateús(away) | 0-1 | Cearense - 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Caucaia(away) | 4-1 | Cearense - 2 |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Uniclinic Atletico Clube(home) | 1-0 | Cearense - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Acadêmica Vitória(home) | 1-1 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Caruaru City(home) | 2-1 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Ipojuca(away) | 4-2 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Centro Limoeirense(home) | 5-0 | Pernambucano - 2 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Belo Jardim(away) | 2-0 | Pernambucano - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Guarany de Sobral score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; América PE score 3.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarany de Sobral | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| América PE | 3.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Guarany de Sobral vs América PE?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guarany de Sobral vs América PE?
- The Footlab AI model makes América PE the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Guarany de Sobral.
- Where and when is Guarany de Sobral vs América PE played?
- Guarany de Sobral vs América PE is played on October 29, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Pernambucano - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.