Guaratinguetá vs Atletico Paranaense: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 14Kick-off on August 1, 2012 at 12:50 AM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Professor Dario Rodrigues Leite, Guaratinguetá, São Paulo
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What was the result of Guaratinguetá vs Atletico Paranaense?
Atletico Paranaense won 0-1 on August 1, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 37′Bruno de Oliveira FurlanAtletico Paranaense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Guaratinguetá have 2 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Atletico Paranaense have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2012 | ABC(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Jul 21, 2012 | BOA(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 18, 2012 | America Mineiro(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 11, 2012 | ASA(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 4, 2012 | São Caetano(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2012 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 21, 2012 | Vitoria(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 18, 2012 | Avai(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 14, 2012 | ABC(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 11, 2012 | Ipatinga(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Guaratinguetá score 0.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 13; Atletico Paranaense score 1.2 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guaratinguetá | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1 | 8/13 | 7/13 |
| Atletico Paranaense | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atletico Paranaense | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 53 | 43 | 65 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy