Guimaraes vs SC Braga: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
The Footlab model makes Guimaraes the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for SC Braga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guimaraes vs SC Braga?
SC Braga starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (2,255 vs 2,080).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guimaraes have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; SC Braga have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nacional(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sporting CP(away) | 2-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chaves(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Austria Vienna(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Železničar Pančevo(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Guimaraes win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 SC Braga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | SC Braga 3-2 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Guimaraes 2-1 SC Braga | Taça da Liga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Guimaraes 1-1 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Guimaraes 0-0 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 31, 2024 | SC Braga 2-1 Guimaraes | Taça da Liga |
| Sep 15, 2024 | SC Braga 0-2 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: SC Braga vs Guimaraes on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guimaraes score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; SC Braga score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes | 1.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| SC Braga | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guimaraes sit 9th in Primeira Liga (3 points from 3 matches) and SC Braga sit 13th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | SC Braga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guimaraes vs SC Braga?
- The Footlab model makes Guimaraes the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for SC Braga.
- Where and when is Guimaraes vs SC Braga played?
- Guimaraes vs SC Braga is played on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.