Guimaraes vs SC Braga: prediction and stats
Taça de PortugalRound of 32Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
The Footlab AI model makes SC Braga the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Guimaraes. The most likely score is 1-1. If SC Braga wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guimaraes vs SC Braga?
SC Braga starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (2,235 vs 2,113).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guimaraes vs SC Braga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guimaraes
4-2-3-1- 9A. Jakupovic
- 16Beni
- 7O. Camara
- 20Samu
- 8Gonçalo Nogueira
- 11Gustavo
- 5A. Sidibé
- 13João Mendes
- 23T. Strata
- 21T. Borevković
- 98Lucas Furtado
SC Braga
4-2-3-1- 10Pau Victor
- 21Ricardo Horta
- 8João Moutinho
- 29J. Gorby
- 77Gabri Martínez
- 20M. Dorgeles
- 14G. Lagerbielke
- 37A. Barišić
- 7Diogo Travassos
- 2Víctor Gómez
- 31Bernardo Fontes
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 07:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guimaraes have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; SC Braga have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | FC Porto(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 2, 2026 | GIL Vicente(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Maritimo(home) | 5-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Recreativa de Lamelas(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Rio Ave(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Aarhus(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Famalicao(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Famalicao(home) | 2-2 | Taça da Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Nacional(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Guimaraes win, 2 draws, 3 SC Braga wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | SC Braga 1-0 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 21, 2026 | SC Braga 3-2 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Guimaraes 2-1 SC Braga | Taça da Liga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Guimaraes 1-1 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Guimaraes 0-0 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 31, 2024 | SC Braga 2-1 Guimaraes | Taça da Liga |
Last archived meeting: SC Braga vs Guimaraes on Aug 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guimaraes score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; SC Braga score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| SC Braga | 1.0 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Guimaraes vs SC Braga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guimaraes vs SC Braga?
- The Footlab AI model makes SC Braga the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Guimaraes.
- Where and when is Guimaraes vs SC Braga played?
- Guimaraes vs SC Braga is played on November 21, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, in the Taça de Portugal.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.