Guinea vs Guinea-Bissau: result 4-1 and analysis
African Nations Championship - Qualification2nd RoundKick-off on December 20, 2024 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Félix Houphouët-Boigny, Abidjan
Full time
What was the result of Guinea vs Guinea-Bissau?
Guinea won 4-1 on December 20, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 26′?Guinea
- 45′?Guinea-Bissau
- 53′?Guinea
- 64′O. DrameGuinea
- 80′?Guinea
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guinea have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Guinea-Bissau have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2024 | Tanzania(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Congo DR(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Ethiopia(away) | 3-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Ethiopia(home) | 4-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 10, 2024 | Tanzania(home) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2024 | Mozambique(home) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Eswatini(away) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Mali(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 11, 2024 | Mali(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 10, 2024 | Mozambique(away) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Guinea wins, 3 draws, 0 Guinea-Bissau wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2023 | Guinea 1-1 Guinea-Bissau | Friendlies |
| Oct 13, 2023 | Guinea 1-0 Guinea-Bissau | Friendlies |
| Nov 12, 2021 | Guinea 0-0 Guinea-Bissau | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 1, 2021 | Guinea-Bissau 1-1 Guinea | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Jul 21, 2017 | Guinea 7-0 Guinea-Bissau | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 14, 2017 | Guinea-Bissau 1-3 Guinea | African Nations Championship |
Last archived meeting: Guinea vs Guinea-Bissau on Oct 17, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Guinea score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Guinea-Bissau score 0.8 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guinea | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Guinea-Bissau | 0.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy