Match

Guiseley AFC vs Cleethorpes Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Nethermoor Park, Guiseley, West Yorkshire

Guiseley AFCCleethorpes Town

The Footlab model makes Cleethorpes Town the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Guiseley AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Guiseley AFC vs Cleethorpes Town?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Guiseley AFC (1,763) and Cleethorpes Town (1,826).

Guiseley AFC win28 %
Draw26 %
Cleethorpes Town win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guiseley AFC have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Cleethorpes Town have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Guiseley AFC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Curzon Ashton(away)2-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Bury(home)3-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Workington(away)2-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Whitby Town(away)2-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026Warrington Town(home)1-2Non League Premier - Northern
Cleethorpes Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ilkeston Town(away)3-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Alfreton Town(home)2-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Warrington Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Quorn(away)5-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026Bamber Bridge(home)2-0Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Guiseley AFC win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cleethorpes Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 24, 2026Cleethorpes Town 2-1 Guiseley AFCNon League Premier - Northern
Nov 15, 2025Guiseley AFC 1-1 Cleethorpes TownNon League Premier - Northern

Last archived meeting: Cleethorpes Town vs Guiseley AFC on Mar 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Guiseley AFC score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cleethorpes Town score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Guiseley AFC1.81.5213/1510/15
Cleethorpes Town1.50.776/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Guiseley AFC sit 6th in Non League Premier - Northern (10 points from 5 matches) and Cleethorpes Town sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Cleethorpes Town541013213
6Guiseley AFC531110710

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Guiseley AFC vs Cleethorpes Town?
The Footlab model makes Cleethorpes Town the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Guiseley AFC.
Where and when is Guiseley AFC vs Cleethorpes Town played?
Guiseley AFC vs Cleethorpes Town is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Nethermoor Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Guiseley AFC and Cleethorpes Town

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