Guiseley AFC vs Cleethorpes Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Nethermoor Park, Guiseley, West Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Cleethorpes Town the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Guiseley AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guiseley AFC vs Cleethorpes Town?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Guiseley AFC (1,763) and Cleethorpes Town (1,826).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guiseley AFC have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Cleethorpes Town have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bury(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Workington(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 5-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Guiseley AFC win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cleethorpes Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town 2-1 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Guiseley AFC 1-1 Cleethorpes Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Cleethorpes Town vs Guiseley AFC on Mar 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guiseley AFC score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cleethorpes Town score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guiseley AFC | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
| Cleethorpes Town | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guiseley AFC sit 6th in Non League Premier - Northern (10 points from 5 matches) and Cleethorpes Town sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Guiseley AFC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guiseley AFC vs Cleethorpes Town?
- The Footlab model makes Cleethorpes Town the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Guiseley AFC.
- Where and when is Guiseley AFC vs Cleethorpes Town played?
- Guiseley AFC vs Cleethorpes Town is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Nethermoor Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 13, 2026BuryvsLeek Town
- Oct 13, 2026Gainsborough TrinityvsIlkeston Town
- Oct 13, 2026Hyde UnitedvsQuorn
- Oct 13, 2026WorkingtonvsWhitby Town
- Oct 13, 2026Ashton UnitedvsAlfreton Town
- Oct 13, 2026Bamber BridgevsWarrington Town
- Oct 13, 2026Lancaster CityvsStockton Town
- Oct 13, 2026United of ManchestervsAFC Emley