Where and when is Workington vs Whitby Town played?

Workington vs Whitby Town is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Borough Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Workington vs Whitby Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Borough Park, Workington, Cumbria

Workington

Whitby Town

The Footlab model makes Workington the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Whitby Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Workington vs Whitby Town?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Workington (1,689) and Whitby Town (1,650).

Workington win47 %

Draw27 %

Whitby Town win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Workington have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Whitby Town have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Workington
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	United of Manchester(away)	2-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 19, 2026	Avro(away)	1-4	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Guiseley AFC(home)	2-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Redcar Athletic(home)	0-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026	Gainsborough Trinity(away)	0-2	Non League Premier - Northern

Whitby Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Warrington Town(home)	0-5	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Ashton United(away)	0-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Ilkeston Town(home)	2-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Guiseley AFC(home)	0-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026	Leek Town(away)	2-1	Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Workington win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Whitby Town win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 10, 2026	Whitby Town 0-0 Workington	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 9, 2025	Workington 1-2 Whitby Town	Non League Premier - Northern
Jan 25, 2025	Whitby Town 1-3 Workington	Non League Premier - Northern
Sep 21, 2024	Workington 3-1 Whitby Town	Non League Premier - Northern
Jan 27, 2024	Workington 0-0 Whitby Town	Non League Premier - Northern
Nov 25, 2023	Whitby Town 1-1 Workington	Non League Premier - Northern

Last archived meeting: Whitby Town vs Workington on Jan 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Workington score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Whitby Town score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Workington	1.1	1.5	3	7/15	7/15
Whitby Town	0.9	1.9	3	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Workington sit 19th in Non League Premier - Northern (4 points from 5 matches) and Whitby Town sit 14th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Whitby Town	5	2	0	3	4	10	6
19	Workington	5	1	1	3	5	10	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Workington vs Whitby Town?: The Footlab model makes Workington the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Whitby Town.
Where and when is Workington vs Whitby Town played?: Workington vs Whitby Town is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Borough Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.