Match

United of Manchester vs AFC Emley: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Broadhurst Park, Manchester

United of ManchesterAFC Emley

The Footlab model makes United of Manchester the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for AFC Emley. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win United of Manchester vs AFC Emley?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate United of Manchester (1,779) and AFC Emley (1,763).

United of Manchester win42 %
Draw27 %
AFC Emley win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, United of Manchester have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; AFC Emley have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

United of Manchester
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Bamber Bridge(away)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026Workington(home)1-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Hyde United(away)0-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Gainsborough Trinity(home)0-3Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Leek Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
AFC Emley
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Redcar Athletic(away)0-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026Ashton United(home)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Leek Town(away)2-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 14, 2026Curzon Ashton(home)2-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Ilkeston Town(home)1-2Non League Premier - Northern

How many goals should we expect?

United of Manchester score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Emley score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
United of Manchester1.01.928/158/15
AFC Emley1.21.148/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

United of Manchester sit 22nd in Non League Premier - Northern (2 points from 6 matches) and AFC Emley sit 10th (9 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10AFC Emley6231659
22United of Manchester60243112

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for United of Manchester vs AFC Emley?
The Footlab model makes United of Manchester the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for AFC Emley.
Where and when is United of Manchester vs AFC Emley played?
United of Manchester vs AFC Emley is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Broadhurst Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: United of Manchester and AFC Emley

Ready to know everything about football?