United of Manchester vs AFC Emley: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Broadhurst Park, Manchester
The Footlab model makes United of Manchester the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for AFC Emley. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win United of Manchester vs AFC Emley?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate United of Manchester (1,779) and AFC Emley (1,763).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, United of Manchester have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; AFC Emley have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Workington(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hyde United(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leek Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
United of Manchester score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Emley score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United of Manchester | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| AFC Emley | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
United of Manchester sit 22nd in Non League Premier - Northern (2 points from 6 matches) and AFC Emley sit 10th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | AFC Emley | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for United of Manchester vs AFC Emley?
- The Footlab model makes United of Manchester the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for AFC Emley.
- Where and when is United of Manchester vs AFC Emley played?
- United of Manchester vs AFC Emley is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Broadhurst Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 13, 2026BuryvsLeek Town
- Oct 13, 2026Guiseley AFCvsCleethorpes Town
- Oct 13, 2026Gainsborough TrinityvsIlkeston Town
- Oct 13, 2026Hyde UnitedvsQuorn
- Oct 13, 2026WorkingtonvsWhitby Town
- Oct 13, 2026Ashton UnitedvsAlfreton Town
- Oct 13, 2026Bamber BridgevsWarrington Town
- Oct 13, 2026Lancaster CityvsStockton Town