Guria vs Varketili: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 24Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stadioni Evgrapi Shevardnadze, Lanchkhuti
The Footlab AI model makes Guria the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Varketili. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guria wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guria vs Varketili?
On Elo ratings, Guria has 1,426 points and Varketili 1,484.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guria vs Varketili
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guria
Not enough data to predict the Guria lineup.
Varketili
4-3-3- ZZ. Basilashvili
- LL. Shilakadze
- MM. Ramishvili
- GG. Shubitidze
- ZZ. Golubiani
- KK. Tsikalanovi
- GG. Bunturi
- BB. Mikeladze
- LL. Chikvaidze
- GG. Narimanidze
- GG. Kutateladze
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guria have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Varketili have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Margveti 2006(away) | 4-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi II(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Gonio(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Betlemi(away) | 5-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Saburtalo II(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | Gonio(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi(away) | 3-3 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Iveria Khashuri(home) | 5-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Iberia 2010(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Kolkheti Khobi(home) | 4-0 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Guria wins, 1 draw, 2 Varketili wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Varketili 1-1 Guria | Liga 3 |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Guria 0-2 Varketili | Liga 3 |
| May 9, 2024 | Varketili 4-0 Guria | Liga 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Guria score 2.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Varketili score 2.5 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guria | 2.9 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Varketili | 2.5 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guria sit 1st in Liga 3 (54 points from 23 matches) and Varketili sit 2nd (49 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guria | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 67 | 11 | 54 |
| 2 | Varketili | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 54 | 14 | 49 |
A question about Guria vs Varketili?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guria vs Varketili?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guria the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Varketili.
- Where and when is Guria vs Varketili played?
- Guria vs Varketili is played on October 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Stadioni Evgrapi Shevardnadze, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.