Gzira United vs Sliema Wanderers: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)MFA Centenary Stadium, Ta'Qali
The Footlab model makes Sliema Wanderers the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Gzira United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gzira United vs Sliema Wanderers?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Gzira United (1,465) and Sliema Wanderers (1,526).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gzira United have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Sliema Wanderers have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Valletta FC(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Birkirkara(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Marsaxlokk(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Valletta FC(away) | 1-2 | FA Trophy |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Floriana(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Floriana(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hibernians(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Tarxien Rainbows(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Zabbar St. Patrick(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mosta(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gzira United win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Sliema Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Sliema Wanderers 2-1 Gzira United | Premier League |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Sliema Wanderers 2-0 Gzira United | Premier League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Sliema Wanderers 0-1 Gzira United | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Gzira United 2-2 Sliema Wanderers | Premier League |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Gzira United 0-2 Sliema Wanderers | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Sliema Wanderers 1-0 Gzira United | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Sliema Wanderers vs Gzira United on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gzira United score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sliema Wanderers score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gzira United | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Sliema Wanderers | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gzira United sit 12th in Premier League (0 points from 2 matches) and Sliema Wanderers sit 10th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sliema Wanderers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 | Gzira United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gzira United vs Sliema Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Sliema Wanderers the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Gzira United.
- Where and when is Gzira United vs Sliema Wanderers played?
- Gzira United vs Sliema Wanderers is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at MFA Centenary Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.