Balzan FC vs Floriana: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Victor Tedesco Stadium, Hamrun
The Footlab model makes Floriana the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Balzan FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Balzan FC vs Floriana?
Floriana starts as the favourite with a 282-point Elo edge (1,718 vs 1,436).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balzan FC have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Floriana have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mosta(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Marsaxlokk(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Melita(home) | 2-0 | Challenge League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Birzebbuga(home) | 3-3 | Challenge League |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Sirens(away) | 1-0 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sliema Wanderers(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Birzebbuga(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Drita(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Drita(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers(away) | 1-5 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Balzan FC win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Floriana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2025 | Balzan FC 0-0 Floriana | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Floriana 3-0 Balzan FC | Premier League |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Floriana 2-2 Balzan FC | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Balzan FC 0-3 Floriana | Premier League |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Balzan FC 3-1 Floriana | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Floriana 0-0 Balzan FC | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Balzan FC vs Floriana on Feb 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Balzan FC score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Floriana score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balzan FC | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Floriana | 1.5 | 1.1 | 8 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Balzan FC sit 8th in Premier League (1 points from 1 matches) and Floriana sit 3rd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Floriana | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Balzan FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Balzan FC vs Floriana?
- The Footlab model makes Floriana the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Balzan FC.
- Where and when is Balzan FC vs Floriana played?
- Balzan FC vs Floriana is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Victor Tedesco Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.