Hammarby Talang vs Sollentuna: prediction and stats
Ettan - NorraNorra - 21Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Hammarby IP, Stockholm
The Footlab model makes Hammarby Talang the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Sollentuna. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hammarby Talang vs Sollentuna?
Hammarby Talang starts as the favourite with a 236-point Elo edge (1,784 vs 1,548).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hammarby Talang have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Sollentuna have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Piteå(home) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 14, 2026 | AFC Eskilstuna(away) | 0-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FBK Karlstad(home) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Arlanda(home) | 5-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Jun 26, 2026 | FBK Karlstad(away) | 7-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | IF Karlstad(home) | 2-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Orebro SK(home) | 1-4 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Järfälla(home) | 2-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Assyriska FF(away) | 0-3 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Vasalund(away) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Hammarby Talang win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Sollentuna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Sollentuna 0-2 Hammarby Talang | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Hammarby Talang 4-0 Sollentuna | Ettan - Norra |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Sollentuna 2-3 Hammarby Talang | Ettan - Norra |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Sollentuna 0-4 Hammarby Talang | Ettan - Norra |
| Jun 4, 2024 | Hammarby Talang 3-1 Sollentuna | Ettan - Norra |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Hammarby Talang 3-0 Sollentuna | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Sollentuna vs Hammarby Talang on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hammarby Talang score 2.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sollentuna score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hammarby Talang | 2.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Sollentuna | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hammarby Talang sit 1st in Ettan - Norra (37 points from 18 matches) and Sollentuna sit 12th (20 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby Talang | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 15 | 37 |
| 12 | Sollentuna | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hammarby Talang vs Sollentuna?
- The Footlab model makes Hammarby Talang the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Sollentuna.
- Where and when is Hammarby Talang vs Sollentuna played?
- Hammarby Talang vs Sollentuna is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Hammarby IP, in the Ettan - Norra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.