FBK Karlstad vs Vasalund: prediction and stats
Ettan - NorraNorra - 21Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Örsholmens IP Konstgräs, Karlstad
The Footlab model makes FBK Karlstad the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Vasalund. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FBK Karlstad vs Vasalund?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate FBK Karlstad (1,627) and Vasalund (1,638).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FBK Karlstad have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Vasalund have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Arlanda(away) | 1-5 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 19, 2026 | GIF Sundsvall(home) | 1-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Enköping(home) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hammarby Talang(away) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Assyriska FF(home) | 0-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stocksund(home) | 4-3 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 20, 2026 | IFK Norrkoping(home) | 1-2 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Piteå(away) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Stockholm Internazionale(home) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Sollentuna(home) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 FBK Karlstad win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Vasalund win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Vasalund 1-3 FBK Karlstad | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 14, 2024 | FBK Karlstad 1-2 Vasalund | Ettan - Norra |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Vasalund 0-0 FBK Karlstad | Ettan - Norra |
Last archived meeting: Vasalund vs FBK Karlstad on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FBK Karlstad score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Vasalund score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FBK Karlstad | 1.5 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Vasalund | 1.4 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FBK Karlstad sit 7th in Ettan - Norra (28 points from 18 matches) and Vasalund sit 10th (23 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FBK Karlstad | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 28 | 28 |
| 10 | Vasalund | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FBK Karlstad vs Vasalund?
- The Footlab model makes FBK Karlstad the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Vasalund.
- Where and when is FBK Karlstad vs Vasalund played?
- FBK Karlstad vs Vasalund is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Örsholmens IP Konstgräs, in the Ettan - Norra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.