Match

Hangzhou Greentown vs Henan Jianye: prediction and stats

Super LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Yellow Dragon Sports Center Stadium, Hangzhou

Hangzhou GreentownHenan Jianye

The Footlab model makes Hangzhou Greentown the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Henan Jianye. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hangzhou Greentown vs Henan Jianye?

A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Hangzhou Greentown (1,587) and Henan Jianye (1,586).

Hangzhou Greentown win42 %
Draw24 %
Henan Jianye win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hangzhou Greentown have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Henan Jianye have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hangzhou Greentown
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Sichuan Jiuniu(away)1-1Super League
Aug 15, 2026Chengdu Better City(home)2-3Super League
Aug 1, 2026Beijing Guoan(away)1-2Super League
Jul 26, 2026Dalian Zhixing(home)3-2Super League
Jul 18, 2026Chongqing Tongliang Long(away)1-1Super League
Henan Jianye
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Shenyang Urban(away)4-4Super League
Aug 15, 2026Shanghai Shenhua(away)1-4Super League
Aug 9, 2026Qingdao Youth Island(home)0-0Super League
Jul 31, 2026Dalian Zhixing(home)1-1Super League
Jul 26, 2026Shandong Luneng(away)2-1Super League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hangzhou Greentown win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Henan Jianye win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 30, 2026Henan Jianye 0-2 Hangzhou GreentownSuper League
Oct 25, 2025Henan Jianye 2-2 Hangzhou GreentownSuper League
Jun 22, 2025Henan Jianye 3-2 Hangzhou GreentownFA Cup
May 16, 2025Hangzhou Greentown 2-2 Henan JianyeSuper League
Jul 21, 2024Henan Jianye 2-1 Hangzhou GreentownSuper League
Apr 30, 2024Hangzhou Greentown 4-1 Henan JianyeSuper League

Last archived meeting: Henan Jianye vs Hangzhou Greentown on May 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hangzhou Greentown score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Henan Jianye score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hangzhou Greentown1.71.9113/1510/15
Henan Jianye1.51.5310/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hangzhou Greentown sit 7th in Super League (17 points from 15 matches) and Henan Jianye sit 11th (15 points from 15 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Hangzhou Greentown15645202317
11Henan Jianye15636161815
11Hangzhou Greentown23869344025
13Henan Jianye23869313324

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hangzhou Greentown vs Henan Jianye?
The Footlab model makes Hangzhou Greentown the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Henan Jianye.
Where and when is Hangzhou Greentown vs Henan Jianye played?
Hangzhou Greentown vs Henan Jianye is played on November 8, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC) at Yellow Dragon Sports Center Stadium, in the Super League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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