Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Yuxi plateau Sports Center Stadium, Yuxi
The Footlab model makes Yunnan Yukun the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Wuhan Three Towns. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns?
Yunnan Yukun starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,615 vs 1,471).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yunnan Yukun have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Wuhan Three Towns have 2, 9 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(away) | 3-3 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dalian Zhixing(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chengdu Better City(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tianjin Teda(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sichuan Jiuniu(home) | 4-3 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tianjin Teda(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SHANGHAI SIPG(home) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chengdu Better City(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Shandong Luneng(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Yunnan Yukun win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Wuhan Three Towns win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Wuhan Three Towns 1-1 Yunnan Yukun | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Yunnan Yukun 2-1 Wuhan Three Towns | Super League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Wuhan Three Towns 3-1 Yunnan Yukun | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Wuhan Three Towns vs Yunnan Yukun on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yunnan Yukun score 2.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Wuhan Three Towns score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yunnan Yukun | 2.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Wuhan Three Towns | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yunnan Yukun sit 4th in Super League (21 points from 15 matches) and Wuhan Three Towns sit 15th (8 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 21 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 35 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 8 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 38 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns?
- The Footlab model makes Yunnan Yukun the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Wuhan Three Towns.
- Where and when is Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns played?
- Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns is played on November 8, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC) at Yuxi plateau Sports Center Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 8, 2026Beijing GuoanvsChongqing Tongliang Long
- Nov 8, 2026Shanghai ShenhuavsQingdao Youth Island
- Nov 8, 2026SHANGHAI SIPGvsShenyang Urban
- Nov 8, 2026Shandong LunengvsChengdu Better City
- Nov 8, 2026Hangzhou GreentownvsHenan Jianye
- Nov 8, 2026Qingdao JonoonvsSichuan Jiuniu
- Nov 8, 2026Dalian ZhixingvsTianjin Teda