Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Youth Island: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Shanghai Stadium, Shanghai
The Footlab model makes Shanghai Shenhua the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Qingdao Youth Island. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Youth Island?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Shanghai Shenhua (1,704) and Qingdao Youth Island (1,668).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shanghai Shenhua have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Qingdao Youth Island have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chengdu Better City(away) | 5-4 | Super League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(home) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Henan Jianye(home) | 4-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Qingdao Jonoon(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Shenyang Urban(away) | 1-3 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shandong Luneng(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Henan Jianye(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Qingdao Jonoon(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Shenyang Urban(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Shanghai Shenhua win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Qingdao Youth Island win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Qingdao Youth Island 2-2 Shanghai Shenhua | Super League |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Qingdao Youth Island 1-2 Shanghai Shenhua | Super League |
| May 10, 2025 | Shanghai Shenhua 4-0 Qingdao Youth Island | Super League |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Qingdao Youth Island 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua | Super League |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Shanghai Shenhua 2-0 Qingdao Youth Island | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Qingdao Youth Island vs Shanghai Shenhua on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shanghai Shenhua score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Qingdao Youth Island score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Shenhua | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Qingdao Youth Island | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shanghai Shenhua sit 12th in Super League (13 points from 15 matches) and Qingdao Youth Island sit 6th (18 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Qingdao Youth Island | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 28 | 29 | 36 |
| 6 | Qingdao Youth Island | 15 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 18 |
| 9 | Shanghai Shenhua | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 28 |
| 12 | Shanghai Shenhua | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 24 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Youth Island?
- The Footlab model makes Shanghai Shenhua the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Qingdao Youth Island.
- Where and when is Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Youth Island played?
- Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Youth Island is played on November 8, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC) at Shanghai Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 8, 2026Beijing GuoanvsChongqing Tongliang Long
- Nov 8, 2026SHANGHAI SIPGvsShenyang Urban
- Nov 8, 2026Shandong LunengvsChengdu Better City
- Nov 8, 2026Hangzhou GreentownvsHenan Jianye
- Nov 8, 2026Qingdao JonoonvsSichuan Jiuniu
- Nov 8, 2026Dalian ZhixingvsTianjin Teda
- Nov 8, 2026Yunnan YukunvsWuhan Three Towns