Match

Shandong Luneng vs Chengdu Better City: prediction and stats

Super LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Ji'nan

Shandong LunengChengdu Better City

The Footlab model makes Shandong Luneng the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Chengdu Better City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Shandong Luneng vs Chengdu Better City?

A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Shandong Luneng (1,666) and Chengdu Better City (1,742).

Shandong Luneng win45 %
Draw24 %
Chengdu Better City win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shandong Luneng have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Chengdu Better City have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Shandong Luneng
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Qingdao Youth Island(away)0-2Super League
Aug 14, 2026Qingdao Jonoon(home)3-1Super League
Aug 9, 2026Tianjin Teda(home)2-1Super League
Aug 1, 2026SHANGHAI SIPG(away)1-0Super League
Jul 26, 2026Henan Jianye(home)1-2Super League
Chengdu Better City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Shanghai Shenhua(home)4-5Super League
Aug 15, 2026Hangzhou Greentown(away)3-2Super League
Aug 8, 2026Yunnan Yukun(away)0-1Super League
Aug 1, 2026Wuhan Three Towns(home)1-1Super League
Jul 26, 2026Beijing Guoan(home)2-2Super League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Shandong Luneng win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Chengdu Better City win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 30, 2026Chengdu Better City 1-0 Shandong LunengSuper League
Aug 2, 2025Chengdu Better City 2-1 Shandong LunengSuper League
Jun 20, 2025Shandong Luneng 1-3 Chengdu Better CityFA Cup
Apr 2, 2025Shandong Luneng 0-3 Chengdu Better CitySuper League
Sep 24, 2024Shandong Luneng 1-0 Chengdu Better CityFA Cup
Aug 17, 2024Shandong Luneng 3-0 Chengdu Better CitySuper League

Last archived meeting: Chengdu Better City vs Shandong Luneng on May 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Shandong Luneng score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chengdu Better City score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Shandong Luneng2.11.7210/1511/15
Chengdu Better City1.71.5210/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Shandong Luneng sit 5th in Super League (18 points from 15 matches) and Chengdu Better City sit 1st (37 points from 15 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Chengdu Better City151212331337
1Chengdu Better City241464492948
5Shandong Luneng15735252518
6Shandong Luneng241239424033

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Shandong Luneng vs Chengdu Better City?
The Footlab model makes Shandong Luneng the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Chengdu Better City.
Where and when is Shandong Luneng vs Chengdu Better City played?
Shandong Luneng vs Chengdu Better City is played on November 8, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC) at Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium, in the Super League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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