Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Hafenstraße, Essen
The Footlab model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for SSV Jahn Regensburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Rot-Weiß Essen (1,974) and SSV Jahn Regensburg (1,907).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rot-Weiß Essen have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; SSV Jahn Regensburg have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(home) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havelse(home) | 1-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(away) | 2-5 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(home) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(away) | 5-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SSV Ulm 1846(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Vilzing(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Rot-Weiß Essen win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 SSV Jahn Regensburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen 3-2 SSV Jahn Regensburg | 3. Liga |
| Sep 12, 2025 | SSV Jahn Regensburg 1-3 Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| Feb 10, 2024 | SSV Jahn Regensburg 1-3 Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Rot-Weiß Essen 0-0 SSV Jahn Regensburg | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; SSV Jahn Regensburg score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rot-Weiß Essen | 2.1 | 2.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and SSV Jahn Regensburg sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg?
- The Footlab model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for SSV Jahn Regensburg.
- Where and when is Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg played?
- Rot-Weiß Essen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Hafenstraße, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04vsMSV Duisburg
- Oct 24, 2026Preußen MünstervsFortuna Köln
- Oct 24, 2026SV MeppenvsWürzburger Kickers
- Oct 24, 2026SV WehenvsSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Oct 24, 2026Hansa RostockvsFortuna Düsseldorf
- Oct 24, 2026FC Viktoria KölnvsVerl
- Oct 24, 2026Waldhof MannheimvsHoffenheim II
- Oct 24, 2026HavelsevsFC Saarbrücken