Rot-Weiß Essen vs Preußen Münster: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Hafenstraße, Essen
The Footlab model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Preußen Münster. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs Preußen Münster?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Rot-Weiß Essen (1,974) and Preußen Münster (1,878).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rot-Weiß Essen have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Preußen Münster have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(home) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havelse(home) | 1-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(away) | 2-5 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Wehen(away) | 3-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Rot-Weiß Essen win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Preußen Münster win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2024 | Preußen Münster 2-1 Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Rot-Weiß Essen 1-0 Preußen Münster | 3. Liga |
| Feb 20, 2022 | Rot-Weiß Essen 1-1 Preußen Münster | Regionalliga - West |
| Sep 14, 2021 | Preußen Münster 2-3 Rot-Weiß Essen | Regionalliga - West |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Preußen Münster 1-0 Rot-Weiß Essen | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 17, 2020 | Rot-Weiß Essen 1-0 Preußen Münster | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen on Jan 28, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Preußen Münster score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rot-Weiß Essen | 2.1 | 2.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Preußen Münster | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Preußen Münster sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Preußen Münster | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 14 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rot-Weiß Essen vs Preußen Münster?
- The Footlab model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Preußen Münster.
- Where and when is Rot-Weiß Essen vs Preußen Münster played?
- Rot-Weiß Essen vs Preußen Münster is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Hafenstraße, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Mar 6, 2027Hansa RostockvsWürzburger Kickers
- Mar 6, 2027FC Viktoria KölnvsAlemannia Aachen
- Mar 6, 2027FC SaarbrückenvsFortuna Köln
- Mar 6, 2027VerlvsFortuna Düsseldorf
- Mar 6, 2027Waldhof MannheimvsSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Mar 6, 2027HavelsevsSSV Jahn Regensburg
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