Match

Rot-Weiß Essen vs Hansa Rostock: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Hafenstraße, Essen

Rot-Weiß EssenHansa Rostock

The Footlab model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 39%, against 22% for a draw and 39% for Hansa Rostock. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs Hansa Rostock?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Rot-Weiß Essen (1,974) and Hansa Rostock (1,983).

Rot-Weiß Essen win39 %
Draw22 %
Hansa Rostock win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rot-Weiß Essen have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Hansa Rostock have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rot-Weiß Essen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026FC St. Pauli(home)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Havelse(home)1-03. Liga
Aug 9, 2026FC Saarbrücken(away)2-53. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Hansa Rostock
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026VfB Stuttgart(home)0-4DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026Waldhof Mannheim(home)3-33. Liga
Aug 9, 2026Hoffenheim II(away)3-23. Liga
Aug 2, 2026Neustrelitz(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)1-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Rot-Weiß Essen win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Hansa Rostock win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Hansa Rostock 3-2 Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga
Sep 20, 2025Rot-Weiß Essen 3-0 Hansa Rostock3. Liga
Apr 6, 2025Rot-Weiß Essen 2-1 Hansa Rostock3. Liga
Oct 26, 2024Hansa Rostock 4-0 Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga

Last archived meeting: Hansa Rostock vs Rot-Weiß Essen on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hansa Rostock score 2.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rot-Weiß Essen2.12.157/1510/15
Hansa Rostock2.52.1310/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Hansa Rostock sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Hansa Rostock2110654
14Rot-Weiß Essen2101353

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rot-Weiß Essen vs Hansa Rostock?
The Footlab model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 39%, against 22% for a draw and 39% for Hansa Rostock.
Where and when is Rot-Weiß Essen vs Hansa Rostock played?
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Hansa Rostock is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Hafenstraße, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Rot-Weiß Essen and Hansa Rostock

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