Chertsey Town vs Hanwell Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Alwyns Lane Football Ground, Chertsey, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Hanwell Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chertsey Town vs Hanwell Town?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Chertsey Town (1,843) and Hanwell Town (1,757).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chertsey Town have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Hanwell Town have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Westfield (Surrey)(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Malvern Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Chertsey Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Hanwell Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | Chertsey Town 2-1 Hanwell Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Hanwell Town 1-2 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Chertsey Town 0-2 Hanwell Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Hanwell Town 1-2 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Hanwell Town 0-2 Chertsey Town | FA Cup |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Chertsey Town 1-2 Hanwell Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central |
Last archived meeting: Chertsey Town vs Hanwell Town on Nov 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hanwell Town score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chertsey Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Hanwell Town | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chertsey Town sit 1st in Non League Premier - Southern South (10 points from 4 matches) and Hanwell Town sit 13th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 13 | Hanwell Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chertsey Town vs Hanwell Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Hanwell Town.
- Where and when is Chertsey Town vs Hanwell Town played?
- Chertsey Town vs Hanwell Town is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Alwyns Lane Football Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 23, 2027Taunton TownvsGloucester City
- Jan 23, 2027Frome TownvsChippenham Town
- Jan 23, 2027UxbridgevsBerkhamsted
- Jan 23, 2027Basingstoke TownvsHavant & Wville
- Jan 23, 2027Chichester CityvsSholing
- Jan 23, 2027Poole TownvsGosport Borough
- Jan 23, 2027Wimborne TownvsPlymouth Parkway
- Jan 23, 2027Yate TownvsMalvern Town