Yate Town vs Malvern Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Jelf Stadium, Yate, South Gloucestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Yate Town the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Malvern Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Yate Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 2,922 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yate Town vs Malvern Town?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Yate Town (1,799) and Malvern Town (1,817).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Yate Town vs Malvern Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Yate Town
Not enough data to predict the Yate Town lineup.
Malvern Town
Not enough data to predict the Malvern Town lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 06:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yate Town have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Malvern Town have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Malvern Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Yate Town wins, 2 draws, 3 Malvern Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Malvern Town 3-2 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Yate Town 0-3 Malvern Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Malvern Town 1-1 Yate Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Malvern Town 0-0 Yate Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Aug 16, 2023 | Yate Town 2-3 Malvern Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Malvern Town vs Yate Town on Oct 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yate Town score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Malvern Town score 1.3 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yate Town | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Malvern Town | 1.3 | 2.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yate Town sit 14th in Non League Premier - Southern South (13 points from 12 matches) and Malvern Town sit 19th (11 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Yate Town | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 13 |
| 19 | Malvern Town | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 34 | 11 |
A question about Yate Town vs Malvern Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yate Town vs Malvern Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Yate Town the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Malvern Town.
- Where and when is Yate Town vs Malvern Town played?
- Yate Town vs Malvern Town is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Jelf Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 23, 2027Taunton TownvsGloucester City
- Jan 23, 2027Frome TownvsChippenham Town
- Jan 23, 2027UxbridgevsBerkhamsted
- Jan 23, 2027Basingstoke TownvsHavant & Wville
- Jan 23, 2027Chertsey TownvsHanwell Town
- Jan 23, 2027Chichester CityvsSholing
- Jan 23, 2027Poole TownvsGosport Borough
- Jan 23, 2027Wimborne TownvsPlymouth Parkway