Berkhamsted vs Hanwell Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Broadwater, Berkhamsted, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Hanwell Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Berkhamsted vs Hanwell Town?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Berkhamsted (1,820) and Hanwell Town (1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Berkhamsted have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Hanwell Town have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Taunton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Malvern Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Berkhamsted win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Hanwell Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Berkhamsted 2-3 Hanwell Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Hanwell Town 1-1 Berkhamsted | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Hanwell Town 1-1 Berkhamsted | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Berkhamsted vs Hanwell Town on Mar 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Berkhamsted score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hanwell Town score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkhamsted | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Hanwell Town | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Berkhamsted sit 20th in Non League Premier - Southern South (3 points from 4 matches) and Hanwell Town sit 13th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hanwell Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 20 | Berkhamsted | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Berkhamsted vs Hanwell Town?
- The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Hanwell Town.
- Where and when is Berkhamsted vs Hanwell Town played?
- Berkhamsted vs Hanwell Town is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Broadwater, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 31, 2026Frome TownvsBath City
- Aug 31, 2026UxbridgevsWimborne Town
- Aug 31, 2026Basingstoke TownvsBracknell Town
- Aug 31, 2026Chichester CityvsHavant & Wville
- Aug 31, 2026SholingvsGosport Borough
- Aug 31, 2026Yate TownvsTaunton Town
- Aug 31, 2026Gloucester CityvsEvesham United
- Aug 31, 2026Hanworth VillavsChertsey Town