Yate Town vs Taunton Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Jelf Stadium, Yate, South Gloucestershire
The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Taunton Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yate Town vs Taunton Town?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Yate Town (1,774) and Taunton Town (1,772).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yate Town have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Taunton Town have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 4-5 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Malvern Town(home) | 5-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Yate Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Taunton Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Yate Town 1-2 Taunton Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Taunton Town 2-1 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 12, 2022 | Taunton Town 2-1 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 13, 2021 | Yate Town 0-0 Taunton Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jan 11, 2020 | Yate Town 4-1 Taunton Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 14, 2019 | Taunton Town 0-4 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Yate Town vs Taunton Town on Dec 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Taunton Town score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yate Town | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Taunton Town | 1.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yate Town sit 4th in Non League Premier - Southern South (8 points from 4 matches) and Taunton Town sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Yate Town | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Taunton Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yate Town vs Taunton Town?
- The Footlab model makes Yate Town the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Taunton Town.
- Where and when is Yate Town vs Taunton Town played?
- Yate Town vs Taunton Town is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Jelf Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 31, 2026BerkhamstedvsHanwell Town
- Aug 31, 2026Frome TownvsBath City
- Aug 31, 2026UxbridgevsWimborne Town
- Aug 31, 2026Basingstoke TownvsBracknell Town
- Aug 31, 2026Chichester CityvsHavant & Wville
- Aug 31, 2026SholingvsGosport Borough
- Aug 31, 2026Gloucester CityvsEvesham United
- Aug 31, 2026Hanworth VillavsChertsey Town