Sholing vs Gosport Borough: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Mackoy Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Sholing the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Gosport Borough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sholing vs Gosport Borough?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Sholing (1,802) and Gosport Borough (1,727).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sholing have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Gosport Borough have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Frome Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Uxbridge(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Yate Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 3-6 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sholing win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Gosport Borough win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Gosport Borough 1-2 Sholing | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Sholing 2-2 Gosport Borough | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Gosport Borough 4-1 Sholing | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Sholing 1-1 Gosport Borough | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Gosport Borough 1-0 Sholing | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Sholing 0-3 Gosport Borough | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Gosport Borough vs Sholing on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sholing score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gosport Borough score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sholing | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Gosport Borough | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sholing sit 17th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Gosport Borough sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Gosport Borough | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 17 | Sholing | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sholing vs Gosport Borough?
- The Footlab model makes Sholing the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Gosport Borough.
- Where and when is Sholing vs Gosport Borough played?
- Sholing vs Gosport Borough is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Mackoy Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 31, 2026BerkhamstedvsHanwell Town
- Aug 31, 2026Frome TownvsBath City
- Aug 31, 2026UxbridgevsWimborne Town
- Aug 31, 2026Basingstoke TownvsBracknell Town
- Aug 31, 2026Chichester CityvsHavant & Wville
- Aug 31, 2026Yate TownvsTaunton Town
- Aug 31, 2026Gloucester CityvsEvesham United
- Aug 31, 2026Hanworth VillavsChertsey Town