Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Beitar Nahariya: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 3Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Umm al-synthetic field, Umm al-Fahm
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Beitar Nahariya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Beitar Nahariya?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Hapoel Bnei Musmus (1,697) and Beitar Nahariya (1,656).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Bnei Musmus have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Beitar Nahariya have 9, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil(home) | 4-0 | State Cup |
| Jan 9, 2024 | Dimona(home) | 1-6 | State Cup |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(home) | 1-0 | State Cup |
| Sep 18, 2023 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home) | 4-2 | State Cup |
| Sep 13, 2023 | Ahli Tamra(home) | 3-1 | State Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Bnei Musmus score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Beitar Nahariya score 2.2 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Beitar Nahariya | 2.2 | 2.4 | 6 | 7/14 | 10/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Beitar Nahariya?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Beitar Nahariya.
- Where and when is Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Beitar Nahariya played?
- Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Beitar Nahariya is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Umm al-synthetic field, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Sep 19, 2026Ironi NeshervsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Sep 19, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsTira
- Sep 19, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsTzeirey Tamra
- Sep 19, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Sep 19, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Sep 19, 2026Hapoel Beit SheanvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Sep 19, 2026Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik