Match

Hapoel Beit Shean vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 23Kick-off on February 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Beit-She'an Municipal Stadium, Beit She'an

Hapoel Beit SheanTzeirei Umm al-Fahm

The Footlab model makes Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Beit Shean. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Beit Shean vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Hapoel Beit Shean (1,653) and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (1,657).

Hapoel Beit Shean win34 %
Draw27 %
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Beit Shean have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Beit Shean
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Tira(home)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 19, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away)1-0Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away)3-2Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Bnei Musmus(away)1-0Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away)2-2Liga Alef
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away)2-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home)1-0Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away)1-3Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home)3-0Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hapoel Beit Shean win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 3, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 0-3 Hapoel Beit SheanLiga Alef
Dec 23, 2024Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 3-1 Hapoel Beit SheanLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Beit Shean on Jan 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Beit Shean score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hapoel Beit Shean1.30.776/156/15
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm1.11.3310/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hapoel Beit Shean sit 7th in Liga Alef (32 points from 22 matches) and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm sit 10th (30 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Hapoel Beit Shean22886282732
10Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm22868292530

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Beit Shean vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
The Footlab model makes Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Beit Shean.
Where and when is Hapoel Beit Shean vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm played?
Hapoel Beit Shean vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm is played on February 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Beit-She'an Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hapoel Beit Shean and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm

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