Hapoel Beit Shean vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 23Kick-off on February 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Beit-She'an Municipal Stadium, Beit She'an
The Footlab model makes Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Beit Shean. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Beit Shean vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Hapoel Beit Shean (1,653) and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (1,657).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Beit Shean have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Tira(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hapoel Beit Shean win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 0-3 Hapoel Beit Shean | Liga Alef |
| Dec 23, 2024 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 3-1 Hapoel Beit Shean | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Beit Shean on Jan 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Beit Shean score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Beit Shean | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Beit Shean sit 7th in Liga Alef (32 points from 22 matches) and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm sit 10th (30 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hapoel Beit Shean | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 27 | 32 |
| 10 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Beit Shean vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
- The Footlab model makes Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Beit Shean.
- Where and when is Hapoel Beit Shean vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm played?
- Hapoel Beit Shean vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm is played on February 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Beit-She'an Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 9, 2027Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Feb 9, 2027Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsBeitar Nahariya
- Feb 9, 2027Ironi NeshervsTira
- Feb 9, 2027Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Feb 9, 2027Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Feb 9, 2027Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Feb 9, 2027Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Feb 9, 2027Tzeirey TamravsHapoel Migdal HaEmek