Match

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 23Kick-off on February 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Tirat Carmel

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelHapoel Ironi Karmiel

The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Karmiel the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,694 vs 1,521).

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win18 %
Draw24 %
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win58 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Hapoel Ironi Karmiel have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 19, 2026Hapoel Beit Shean(home)0-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Tzeirey Tamra(home)0-2Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Ironi Nesher(away)1-1Liga Alef
Jan 23, 2026Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home)1-2Liga Alef
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 19, 2026Tira(away)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away)0-1Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home)2-3Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 13, 2026Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1-1 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelLiga Alef
Oct 10, 2025Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0-3 Hapoel Ironi KarmielLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel on Feb 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Ironi Karmiel score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel0.61.917/156/15
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel1.31.167/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel sit 15th in Liga Alef (12 points from 21 matches) and Hapoel Ironi Karmiel sit 5th (33 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Hapoel Ironi Karmiel22967302333
15Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel213315164212

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Karmiel the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
Where and when is Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel played?
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel is played on February 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel and Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

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