Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 23Kick-off on February 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Tirat Carmel
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Karmiel the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,694 vs 1,521).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Hapoel Ironi Karmiel have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Tira(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 2-3 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1-1 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | Liga Alef |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0-3 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel on Feb 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Ironi Karmiel score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel sit 15th in Liga Alef (12 points from 21 matches) and Hapoel Ironi Karmiel sit 5th (33 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 23 | 33 |
| 15 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 42 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Karmiel the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
- Where and when is Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel played?
- Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel is played on February 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 9, 2027Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Feb 9, 2027Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsBeitar Nahariya
- Feb 9, 2027Ironi NeshervsTira
- Feb 9, 2027Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Feb 9, 2027Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Feb 9, 2027Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Feb 9, 2027Hapoel Beit SheanvsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Feb 9, 2027Tzeirey TamravsHapoel Migdal HaEmek