Match

Ironi Nesher vs Tira: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 23Kick-off on February 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nesher Municipal Stadium, Nesher

Ironi NesherTira

The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Ironi Nesher. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ironi Nesher vs Tira?

Tira starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,785 vs 1,612).

Ironi Nesher win21 %
Draw23 %
Tira win56 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Nesher have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Tira have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ironi Nesher
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 19, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away)0-3Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home)3-1Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Tira(away)2-0Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home)1-1Liga Alef
Tira
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Hapoel Beit Shean(away)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 19, 2026Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Tzeirey Tamra(away)3-1Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Ironi Nesher(home)0-2Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away)1-0Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ironi Nesher win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Tira win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 6, 2026Tira 0-2 Ironi NesherLiga Alef
Sep 26, 2025Ironi Nesher 2-3 TiraLiga Alef
Dec 30, 2024Ironi Nesher 1-0 TiraLiga Alef
Apr 4, 2024Tira 3-0 Ironi NesherLiga Alef
Jan 15, 2024Ironi Nesher 0-0 TiraLiga Alef
Jan 27, 2023Ironi Nesher 2-2 TiraLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Tira vs Ironi Nesher on Feb 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ironi Nesher score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Tira score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ironi Nesher1.21.839/1510/15
Tira1.70.966/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ironi Nesher sit 11th in Liga Alef (29 points from 22 matches) and Tira sit 2nd (42 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Tira221336422342
11Ironi Nesher22859283729

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ironi Nesher vs Tira?
The Footlab model makes Tira the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Ironi Nesher.
Where and when is Ironi Nesher vs Tira played?
Ironi Nesher vs Tira is played on February 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nesher Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ironi Nesher and Tira

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