Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 23Kick-off on February 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Tamra
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Tzeirey Tamra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek?
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,710 vs 1,588).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tzeirey Tamra have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tira(home) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(home) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Tzeirey Tamra win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra 0-2 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1-0 Tzeirey Tamra | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tzeirey Tamra score 1.4 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Migdal HaEmek score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tzeirey Tamra | 1.4 | 2.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 1.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tzeirey Tamra sit 12th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Migdal HaEmek sit 8th (31 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 31 |
| 12 | Tzeirey Tamra | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 32 | 47 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Tzeirey Tamra.
- Where and when is Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek played?
- Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek is played on February 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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