Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 23Kick-off on February 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Umm al-synthetic field, Umm al-Fahm
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed?
Hapoel Bnei Musmus starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,697 vs 1,515).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Bnei Musmus have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Hapoel Bnei Musmus win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1-0 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Liga Alef |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1-1 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Liga Alef |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 0-1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus | State Cup |
| Sep 7, 2018 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus 0-2 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed on Dec 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Bnei Musmus score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Bnei Musmus sit 6th in Liga Alef (33 points from 21 matches) and Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed sit 14th (17 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed.
- Where and when is Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed played?
- Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed is played on February 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Umm al-synthetic field, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 9, 2027Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Feb 9, 2027Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsBeitar Nahariya
- Feb 9, 2027Ironi NeshervsTira
- Feb 9, 2027Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Feb 9, 2027Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Feb 9, 2027Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Feb 9, 2027Hapoel Beit SheanvsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Feb 9, 2027Tzeirey TamravsHapoel Migdal HaEmek