Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 13Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Tirat Carmel
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?
Hapoel Bnei Musmus starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (1,697 vs 1,521).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Hapoel Bnei Musmus have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0-1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus on Nov 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Bnei Musmus score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel sit 15th in Liga Alef (12 points from 21 matches) and Hapoel Bnei Musmus sit 6th (33 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 33 |
| 15 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 42 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
- Where and when is Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus played?
- Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus is played on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Dec 12, 2026Ironi NeshervsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Dec 12, 2026Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel Beit SheanvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsBeitar Nahariya
- Dec 12, 2026Tzeirey TamravsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Dec 12, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsTira