Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 13Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)HaShalom Stadium, Umm al-Fahm
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Neve Sha'anan the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Hapoel Umm al-Fahm (1,605) and Maccabi Neve Sha'anan (1,674).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Maccabi Neve Sha'anan have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 2-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(home) | 3-5 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away) | 1-4 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Maccabi Neve Sha'anan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 0-2 Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan on Jan 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Neve Sha'anan score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm sit 16th in Liga Alef (11 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Neve Sha'anan sit 4th (36 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 36 |
| 16 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 37 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Neve Sha'anan the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm.
- Where and when is Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan played?
- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan is played on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at HaShalom Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Dec 12, 2026Ironi NeshervsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Dec 12, 2026Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel Beit SheanvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsBeitar Nahariya
- Dec 12, 2026Tzeirey TamravsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Dec 12, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsTira