Match

Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Sderot: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 24Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium Herzliya, Herzliya

Hapoel HerzliyaHapoel Sderot

The Footlab model makes Hapoel Sderot the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Herzliya. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Sderot?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Hapoel Herzliya (1,620) and Hapoel Sderot (1,653).

Hapoel Herzliya win36 %
Draw27 %
Hapoel Sderot win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Herzliya have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Hapoel Sderot have 2, 0 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Herzliya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Beitar Yavne(away)0-1Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Hapoel Marmorek(home)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026Hapoel Azor(away)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026FC Jerusalem(home)1-5Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Tzeirey Tira(away)0-1Liga Alef
Hapoel Sderot
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Dec 27, 2025Hapoel Beer Sheva(away)1-2State Cup
Oct 29, 2025Hapoel Hadera(away)4-3State Cup
Sep 30, 2025Araba(home)2-1State Cup
Oct 2, 2018Maccabi Yavne(home)0-4State Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Herzliya score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Sderot score 1.8 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hapoel Herzliya0.61.927/157/15
Hapoel Sderot1.82.503/44/4

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Hapoel Herzliya225710223622

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Sderot?
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Sderot the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Herzliya.
Where and when is Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Sderot played?
Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Sderot is played on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium Herzliya, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hapoel Herzliya and Hapoel Sderot

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