Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Sderot: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 24Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium Herzliya, Herzliya
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Sderot the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Herzliya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Sderot?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Hapoel Herzliya (1,620) and Hapoel Sderot (1,653).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Herzliya have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Hapoel Sderot have 2, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-5 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(away) | 1-2 | State Cup |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Hapoel Hadera(away) | 4-3 | State Cup |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Araba(home) | 2-1 | State Cup |
| Oct 2, 2018 | Maccabi Yavne(home) | 0-4 | State Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Herzliya score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Sderot score 1.8 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Herzliya | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Hapoel Sderot | 1.8 | 2.5 | 0 | 3/4 | 4/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hapoel Herzliya | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 36 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Sderot?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Sderot the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Herzliya.
- Where and when is Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Sderot played?
- Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Sderot is played on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium Herzliya, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 12, 2027DimonavsHapoel Azor
- Feb 12, 2027Shimshon Tel AvivvsMaccabi Ashdod
- Feb 12, 2027Beitar YavnevsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Feb 12, 2027FC JerusalemvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Feb 13, 2027Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsKfar Saba 1928
- Feb 13, 2027Hapoel MarmorekvsNordia Jerusalem
- Feb 13, 2027Hapoel HaderavsTzeirey Tira
- Feb 13, 2027Holon YermiyahuvsMaccabi Yavne