Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Ashdod: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 24Kick-off on February 12, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Moshava Training Field, Pétaḥ-Tiqva (Petach-Tikva)
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Shimshon Tel Aviv. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Ashdod?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Shimshon Tel Aviv (1,676) and Maccabi Ashdod (1,670).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shimshon Tel Aviv have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Maccabi Ashdod have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(home) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(home) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Shimshon Tel Aviv win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Maccabi Ashdod win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 1-1 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Maccabi Ashdod 1-1 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 0-1 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Maccabi Ashdod 0-0 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
| Dec 24, 2023 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 2-1 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Apr 17, 2023 | Maccabi Ashdod 5-1 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Ashdod on Jan 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shimshon Tel Aviv score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Ashdod score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shimshon Tel Aviv | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Maccabi Ashdod | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shimshon Tel Aviv sit 7th in Liga Alef (30 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Ashdod sit 10th (28 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 30 |
| 10 | Maccabi Ashdod | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Ashdod?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Shimshon Tel Aviv.
- Where and when is Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Ashdod played?
- Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Ashdod is played on February 12, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Moshava Training Field, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 12, 2027DimonavsHapoel Azor
- Feb 12, 2027Beitar YavnevsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Feb 12, 2027FC JerusalemvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Feb 13, 2027Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsKfar Saba 1928
- Feb 13, 2027Hapoel MarmorekvsNordia Jerusalem
- Feb 13, 2027Hapoel HaderavsTzeirey Tira
- Feb 13, 2027Hapoel HerzliyavsHapoel Sderot
- Feb 13, 2027Holon YermiyahuvsMaccabi Yavne