Where and when is FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda played?

FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda is played on February 12, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Har Huma synthetic, in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 24Kick-off on February 12, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Har Huma synthetic, Jerusalem

FC Jerusalem

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda

The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?

FC Jerusalem starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,735 vs 1,562).

FC Jerusalem win50 %

Draw24 %

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Jerusalem have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have 7, 0 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Jerusalem
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 27, 2026	Dimona(home)	4-1	Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026	Nordia Jerusalem(away)	2-1	Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026	Maccabi Ashdod(home)	3-3	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Hapoel Herzliya(away)	5-1	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home)	1-2	Liga Alef

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jan 5, 2025	Hapoel Hod HaSharon(away)	1-5	State Cup
Nov 11, 2024	Agudat Sport Ashdod(away)	0-1	State Cup
Oct 8, 2024	Hapoel Kiryat Ono(away)	2-1	State Cup
Sep 24, 2024	Maccabi Giv'at Shmuel(home)	3-1	State Cup
Sep 6, 2024	Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla(away)	4-2	State Cup

How many goals should we expect?

FC Jerusalem score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Jerusalem	2.1	1.3	3	9/15	10/15
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	1.7	1.9	2	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	FC Jerusalem	22	11	4	7	45	29	37

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?: The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda.
Where and when is FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda played?: FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda is played on February 12, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Har Huma synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.