Match

Hapoel Marmorek vs Nordia Jerusalem: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 24Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, Rehovot

Hapoel MarmorekNordia Jerusalem

The Footlab model makes Nordia Jerusalem the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Marmorek. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Marmorek vs Nordia Jerusalem?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Hapoel Marmorek (1,608) and Nordia Jerusalem (1,626).

Hapoel Marmorek win34 %
Draw26 %
Nordia Jerusalem win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Marmorek have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Nordia Jerusalem have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Marmorek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Maccabi Ashdod(home)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Hapoel Herzliya(away)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026Beitar Yavne(away)2-0Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Holon Yermiyahu(away)2-1Liga Alef
Nordia Jerusalem
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Hapoel Azor(away)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026FC Jerusalem(home)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Tzeirey Tira(away)2-5Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home)2-2Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Kfar Saba 1928(away)1-2Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hapoel Marmorek win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Nordia Jerusalem win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2025Hapoel Marmorek 0-3 Nordia JerusalemLiga Alef
Mar 1, 2025Hapoel Marmorek 0-1 Nordia JerusalemLiga Alef
Nov 5, 2024Nordia Jerusalem 2-1 Hapoel MarmorekLiga Alef
Feb 26, 2024Nordia Jerusalem 1-1 Hapoel MarmorekLiga Alef
Sep 22, 2023Hapoel Marmorek 0-1 Nordia JerusalemLiga Alef
Apr 13, 2022Hapoel Marmorek 2-1 Nordia JerusalemLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Marmorek vs Nordia Jerusalem on Nov 7, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Marmorek score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hapoel Marmorek0.91.347/155/15
Nordia Jerusalem1.51.9211/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hapoel Marmorek sit 12th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th (15 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Hapoel Marmorek226610203424
16Nordia Jerusalem223613284015

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Marmorek vs Nordia Jerusalem?
The Footlab model makes Nordia Jerusalem the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Marmorek.
Where and when is Hapoel Marmorek vs Nordia Jerusalem played?
Hapoel Marmorek vs Nordia Jerusalem is played on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hapoel Marmorek and Nordia Jerusalem

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