Hapoel Marmorek vs Nordia Jerusalem: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 24Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, Rehovot
The Footlab model makes Nordia Jerusalem the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Marmorek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Marmorek vs Nordia Jerusalem?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Hapoel Marmorek (1,608) and Nordia Jerusalem (1,626).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Marmorek have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Nordia Jerusalem have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 2-5 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hapoel Marmorek win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Nordia Jerusalem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | Hapoel Marmorek 0-3 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Hapoel Marmorek 0-1 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Nordia Jerusalem 2-1 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Feb 26, 2024 | Nordia Jerusalem 1-1 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Hapoel Marmorek 0-1 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Apr 13, 2022 | Hapoel Marmorek 2-1 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Marmorek vs Nordia Jerusalem on Nov 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Marmorek score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Marmorek | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Nordia Jerusalem | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Marmorek sit 12th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th (15 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hapoel Marmorek | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 34 | 24 |
| 16 | Nordia Jerusalem | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 40 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Marmorek vs Nordia Jerusalem?
- The Footlab model makes Nordia Jerusalem the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Marmorek.
- Where and when is Hapoel Marmorek vs Nordia Jerusalem played?
- Hapoel Marmorek vs Nordia Jerusalem is played on February 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Rehovot Marmorek Weisgal Synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 12, 2027DimonavsHapoel Azor
- Feb 12, 2027Shimshon Tel AvivvsMaccabi Ashdod
- Feb 12, 2027Beitar YavnevsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Feb 12, 2027FC JerusalemvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Feb 13, 2027Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsKfar Saba 1928
- Feb 13, 2027Hapoel HaderavsTzeirey Tira
- Feb 13, 2027Hapoel HerzliyavsHapoel Sderot
- Feb 13, 2027Holon YermiyahuvsMaccabi Yavne