Match

Maccabi Ashdod vs FC Jerusalem: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 19Kick-off on January 15, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Ashdod Senti, Ašdod (Ashdod)

Maccabi AshdodFC Jerusalem

The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Maccabi Ashdod. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maccabi Ashdod vs FC Jerusalem?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Maccabi Ashdod (1,670) and FC Jerusalem (1,735).

Maccabi Ashdod win32 %
Draw24 %
FC Jerusalem win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Ashdod have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; FC Jerusalem have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maccabi Ashdod
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Hapoel Marmorek(away)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026FC Jerusalem(away)3-3Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Tzeirey Tira(home)0-3Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away)3-2Liga Alef
Jan 23, 2026Kfar Saba 1928(home)1-1Liga Alef
FC Jerusalem
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Dimona(home)4-1Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Nordia Jerusalem(away)2-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Maccabi Ashdod(home)3-3Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Herzliya(away)5-1Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home)1-2Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Maccabi Ashdod win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 FC Jerusalem win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 13, 2026FC Jerusalem 3-3 Maccabi AshdodLiga Alef
Oct 10, 2025Maccabi Ashdod 3-1 FC JerusalemLiga Alef
Jan 31, 2025FC Jerusalem 0-4 Maccabi AshdodLiga Alef
Sep 27, 2024Maccabi Ashdod 0-1 FC JerusalemLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ashdod on Feb 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Maccabi Ashdod score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Jerusalem score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Maccabi Ashdod2.01.9211/1511/15
FC Jerusalem2.11.339/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maccabi Ashdod sit 10th in Liga Alef (28 points from 21 matches) and FC Jerusalem sit 2nd (37 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2FC Jerusalem221147452937
10Maccabi Ashdod21777373528

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maccabi Ashdod vs FC Jerusalem?
The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Maccabi Ashdod.
Where and when is Maccabi Ashdod vs FC Jerusalem played?
Maccabi Ashdod vs FC Jerusalem is played on January 15, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Ashdod Senti, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Maccabi Ashdod and FC Jerusalem

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