Match

Hapoel Herzliya vs Nordia Jerusalem: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 2Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium Herzliya, Herzliya

Hapoel HerzliyaNordia Jerusalem

The Footlab model makes Nordia Jerusalem the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Herzliya. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Herzliya vs Nordia Jerusalem?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Hapoel Herzliya (1,620) and Nordia Jerusalem (1,626).

Hapoel Herzliya win35 %
Draw24 %
Nordia Jerusalem win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Herzliya have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Nordia Jerusalem have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Herzliya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Beitar Yavne(away)0-1Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Hapoel Marmorek(home)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026Hapoel Azor(away)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026FC Jerusalem(home)1-5Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Tzeirey Tira(away)0-1Liga Alef
Nordia Jerusalem
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Hapoel Azor(away)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026FC Jerusalem(home)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Tzeirey Tira(away)2-5Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home)2-2Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Kfar Saba 1928(away)1-2Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Hapoel Herzliya win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Nordia Jerusalem win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 12, 2025Nordia Jerusalem 3-0 Hapoel HerzliyaLiga Alef
Jan 18, 2025Hapoel Herzliya 1-1 Nordia JerusalemLiga Alef
Sep 17, 2024Nordia Jerusalem 0-3 Hapoel HerzliyaLiga Alef
Feb 16, 2024Nordia Jerusalem 2-1 Hapoel HerzliyaLiga Alef
Sep 8, 2023Hapoel Herzliya 0-0 Nordia JerusalemLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Herzliya on Dec 12, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Herzliya score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hapoel Herzliya0.61.927/157/15
Nordia Jerusalem1.51.9211/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hapoel Herzliya sit 14th in Liga Alef (22 points from 22 matches) and Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th (15 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Hapoel Herzliya225710223622
16Nordia Jerusalem223613284015

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Herzliya vs Nordia Jerusalem?
The Footlab model makes Nordia Jerusalem the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Herzliya.
Where and when is Hapoel Herzliya vs Nordia Jerusalem played?
Hapoel Herzliya vs Nordia Jerusalem is played on September 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium Herzliya, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hapoel Herzliya and Nordia Jerusalem

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