Hapoel Herzliya vs Nordia Jerusalem: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 2Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium Herzliya, Herzliya
The Footlab model makes Nordia Jerusalem the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Herzliya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Herzliya vs Nordia Jerusalem?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Hapoel Herzliya (1,620) and Nordia Jerusalem (1,626).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Herzliya have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Nordia Jerusalem have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-5 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 2-5 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Hapoel Herzliya win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Nordia Jerusalem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Nordia Jerusalem 3-0 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Hapoel Herzliya 1-1 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Nordia Jerusalem 0-3 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Nordia Jerusalem 2-1 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Hapoel Herzliya 0-0 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Herzliya on Dec 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Herzliya score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Herzliya | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Nordia Jerusalem | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Herzliya sit 14th in Liga Alef (22 points from 22 matches) and Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th (15 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hapoel Herzliya | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 36 | 22 |
| 16 | Nordia Jerusalem | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 40 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Herzliya vs Nordia Jerusalem?
- The Footlab model makes Nordia Jerusalem the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Herzliya.
- Where and when is Hapoel Herzliya vs Nordia Jerusalem played?
- Hapoel Herzliya vs Nordia Jerusalem is played on September 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium Herzliya, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 9, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Sep 9, 2026Hapoel HaderavsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Sep 9, 2026DimonavsMaccabi Yavne
- Sep 9, 2026Hapoel AzorvsTzeirey Tira
- Sep 9, 2026Hapoel SderotvsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Sep 9, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsHapoel Marmorek
- Sep 9, 2026Beitar YavnevsKfar Saba 1928
- Sep 9, 2026FC JerusalemvsMaccabi Ashdod