Match

Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 30Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kaukab Stadium, Kaukab Abu al-Hija

Hapoel Ironi ArrabaHapoel Nazareth Illit

The Footlab model makes Hapoel Nazareth Illit the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Hapoel Ironi Arraba. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?

A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Hapoel Ironi Arraba (1,583) and Hapoel Nazareth Illit (1,659).

Hapoel Ironi Arraba win31 %
Draw26 %
Hapoel Nazareth Illit win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Ironi Arraba have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Hapoel Nazareth Illit have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Ironi Arraba
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away)2-1Liga Alef
Feb 22, 2026Tzeirey Tamra(home)0-3Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Ironi Nesher(away)1-3Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home)2-2Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away)0-3Liga Alef
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 25, 2026Hapoel Acre(home)2-2Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026Ironi Modi'in(home)0-2Liga Leumit
May 15, 2026Hapoel Afula(away)1-2Liga Leumit
May 11, 2026Kafr Qasim(away)1-1Liga Leumit
May 4, 2026Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away)0-2Liga Leumit

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Ironi Arraba score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Nazareth Illit score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hapoel Ironi Arraba1.51.9310/1512/15
Hapoel Nazareth Illit1.31.739/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Hapoel Ironi Arraba225611303921

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Nazareth Illit the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Hapoel Ironi Arraba.
Where and when is Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit played?
Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit is played on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Kaukab Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hapoel Ironi Arraba and Hapoel Nazareth Illit

Ready to know everything about football?